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Recent Analyses
Will Trump win the 2028 GOP primary? Analyzing
Stage 7 of 11 - Running cross-examination · 42s elapsed
Will the Fed cut rates before September 2026?BUY YES
Edge: +9¢Confidence: 82%Agents: 14 Every 4h
0%Market 62¢AI 71¢100%
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Bull vs Bear Debate
Bull Case (12 agents)
Labor market softening accelerating. CPI below 2.5% for 3 consecutive months. Fed dot plot shifted dovish. Historical precedent: 4 of 5 similar setups resulted in cuts within 90 days.
Bear Case (2 agents)
Geopolitical supply shock risk from Iran tensions could spike energy prices. Tail risk of sticky services inflation re-accelerating if housing costs don't normalize.
Cross-examination: Bull thesis survived 4 of 5 challenges
US recession declared by Q4 2026?BUY NO
Edge: +7¢Confidence: 68%Agents: 14
0%AI 27¢Market 34¢100%
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US–Iran permanent peace deal by Dec 2026?NO TRADE
Edge: ~0¢Confidence: 34%Agents: 14 Daily
0%AI ≈ Market (no edge)100%
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Why No Trade
Bull Case (3 agents)
Diplomatic channels active. Both sides signaling willingness. Economic pressure mounting on Iran.
Bear Case (4 agents)
Historical failure rate of similar negotiations is 80%+. Domestic politics in both countries oppose concessions. Strait of Hormuz tensions escalating.
High disagreement - 7 agents neutral, insufficient conviction for a recommendation